1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons
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Time: 1:00 p.m. ET (FOX)
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Spread / Total (early lines): Falcons –3.5 | O/U 43.5
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Betting Angle: The Falcons’ ground game versus Tampa’s old-but-tested defense makes this a classic low-scoring, grind-it-out divisional clash—lean under if both defenses hold firm.
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DFS Targets:
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Bijan Robinson (RB, ATL): Should be volume-heavy from kickoff.
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Chris Godwin (WR, TB): A target magnet, especially if Atlanta focuses on shutting down Mike Evans.
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Falcons D/ST: Could yield early returns if TB’s QB struggles to stay consistent.
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2. Cincinnati Bengals @ Cleveland Browns
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Time: 1:00 p.m. ET (FOX)
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Spread / Total: Bengals –2 | O/U 47
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Betting Angle: Ford is untested as the feature back, which may tilt value toward the Bengals if they can force the Browns into pass-heavy situations. Consider taking Bengals ML or targeting the under if Cleveland leans on Ford’s ground game conservatively.
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DFS Targets:
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Ja’Marr Chase (WR, CIN): Still elite, though Cleveland may adjust coverage.
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Jerome Ford (RB, CLE): Low profile—could be a contrarian target with upside for volume.
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Joe Flacco (QB, CLE): Veteran value for GPPs if Browns find rhythm via short passing game.
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3. Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers
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Time: 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS)
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Spread / Total: Packers –1 | O/U 49
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Betting Angle: Lambeau Field + Week 1 can mean slow starts. Consider the Lions if Green Bay’s rookie-heavy roster shows early jitters. The over is live if both offenses break through quickly.
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DFS Targets:
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Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR, DET): PPR dynamo—should see targets in any flow.
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Jordan Love (QB, GB): Surprisingly affordable in DFS and a scoring upside if he connects with the deep ball.
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Sam LaPorta (TE, DET): Red-zone asset and emerging threat—as a lower-owned pick, he provides value.
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4. Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills
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Time: 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC – Sunday Night Football)
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Spread / Total: Bills –2.5 | O/U 51
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Betting Angle: Expect fireworks. High-paced offenses, QBs with legs, and deep threats galore signal a high scoring affair. Lean Bills, but the over looks even stronger.
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DFS Targets:
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Lamar Jackson (QB, BAL): Dual-threat upside—elite week one play.
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Josh Allen (QB, BUF): Fade correlation with Lamar—balanced stacks could pay off.
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Zay Flowers (WR, BAL): Under the radar speed burner; late-game production potential.
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Stefon Diggs (WR, BUF): Safety-net receiver—likely to rack up target volume.
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Summary Snapshot
| Matchup | DFS Highlights | Betting Insight |
|---|---|---|
| Bucs @ Falcons | Robinson, Godwin, Falcons D/ST | Lean under; Falcons ML has value |
| Bengals @ Browns | Chase, Jerome Ford, Flacco | Bengals ML or under (Cleveland’s untested RB) |
| Lions @ Packers | ARSB, Love, LaPorta | Lions +1; Over if offenses click early |
| Ravens @ Bills | Jackson, Allen, Flowers, Diggs | Over 51; tight lean to Bills |
Closing Thoughts
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Chubb Correction: ✅ Nick Chubb is now with the Houston Texans on a one-year deal, no longer part of the Browns’ offense
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Value Picks: GPP lineups should focus on Ravens–Bills for upside. For safer DFS plays, St. Brown, Godwin, and Robinson are solid picks.
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Betting Angles: Dogs like Browns +2 and Lions +1 present value, while the over 51 in Ravens–Bills looks like the weekend’s best total play.
