Heading into the 2025 NFL season, several head coaches find themselves under intense scrutiny. Here’s a full breakdown of the most at-risk—and why they’re suddenly coaching for their jobs.
Most At-Risk Coaches
Mike Tomlin (Steelers) – 69% Firing Probability
Despite never having a losing season since 2007, Pittsburgh’s franchise icon faces unprecedented pressure. A prolonged playoff drought—no wins since 2016—combined with declining performance trends put him at the top of the risk list.
Brian Daboll (Giants) – “Hottest Seat”
Daboll’s Giants went 3–14 in 2024 and carry a career record of just 18–32–1. With new QB options and a tougher schedule ahead, expectations weigh heavy. Many analysts predict he could be fired midseason if things don’t improve.
Kevin Stefanski (Browns) – 58% Risk
Cleveland maintains faith in its head coach–GM duo despite last year’s 3–14 record. Still, a stagnant offense and questionable QB acquisition decisions place Stefanski firmly on the hot seat.
Zac Taylor (Bengals)
Once a Super Bowl-contending coach, Taylor now faces intense criticism. Cincinnati missed the playoffs in consecutive seasons despite a star-studded roster, making his job feel especially vulnerable.
Shane Steichen (Colts)
With a mediocre 17–17 record and limited progress from QB Anthony Richardson, Steichen’s seat is heating up—especially with new ownership eager for results.
Mike McDaniel (Dolphins)
McDaniel’s situation is delicate. Despite holding multiple playoff appearances, the Dolphins have yet to win a postseason game. With concerns over leadership and Tua’s health, this season may determine his fate.
Jonathan Gannon (Cardinals)
Reddit fans are blunt: no playoffs likely equal no job. With limited tolerance for another stagnant season, Gannon’s seat is among the league’s warmest.
Coaches Under Moderate Pressure
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Pete Carroll (Raiders) and Ben Johnson (Bears) benefit from fresh starts and early optimism that grant them some leeway.
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Newcomer Mike Vrabel (Patriots) enters with a strong pedigree, lowering immediate expectations.
Summary Table: Coaches Rated by Job Security
| Coach | Team | Key Pressure Points |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Tomlin | Steelers | Playoff drought, high expectations despite consistency |
| Brian Daboll | Giants | Poor record, high-profile QB decisions |
| Kevin Stefanski | Browns | Offensive struggles, questionable leadership |
| Zac Taylor | Bengals | Underutilized roster, lack of postseason success |
| Shane Steichen | Colts | QB development issues, ownership transition |
| Mike McDaniel | Dolphins | Playoff underperformance, QB and locker room concerns |
| Jonathan Gannon | Cardinals | Fan impatience, slim margin for error |
Final Thoughts
The NFL’s unforgiving nature means job stability exists only in strategy. Coaches like Tomlin and Daboll may need a turnaround fast—or face rough endings. Even proven leaders are vulnerable if expectations go unmet. For fans and media alike, the 2025 season promises drama beyond game day—this year, every sideline decision matters.
