The 2026 NFL Draft provided a major shock to the betting markets, specifically regarding the Los Angeles Rams and their pursuit of Super Bowl LXI in 2027. According to a recent report from FOX Sports, the Rams’ decision to select Alabama quarterback Ty Simpson with the No. 13 overall pick led to a noticeable, though slight, decline in their championship odds.
The “Simpson Slump”
Entering the draft, the Rams were the clear betting favorites to win the Super Bowl in 2027 with +750 odds. However, the team’s choice to prioritize a “long-term investment” over an immediate impact player for their current roster—which features reigning NFL MVP Matthew Stafford—caused oddsmakers to adjust their lines.
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Pre-Draft Odds: +750
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Post-Draft Odds: +800
Despite the slight drop, the Rams remain the overall favorites on the board, sitting just ahead of a group of three teams deadlocked at +1000.
Current 2027 Super Bowl LXI Odds
Following the draft-day adjustments, the top of the board reflects a competitive field for the 2026–27 season:
| Team | Current Odds | Post-Draft Trend |
| Los Angeles Rams | +800 | Slightly Down (+750 → +800) |
| Seattle Seahawks | +1000 | Steady |
| Baltimore Ravens | +1000 | Steady |
| Buffalo Bills | +1000 | Steady |
| Kansas City Chiefs | +1500 | Steady |
| Philadelphia Eagles | +1700 | Up (+1900 → +1700) |
Draft Day Winners: Eagles & Cowboys
While the Rams saw a minor dip, other teams capitalized on their selections to gain momentum with bettors:
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Philadelphia Eagles: Their odds jumped from +1900 to +1700 after they traded up to select USC wide receiver Makai Lemon at No. 20.
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Dallas Cowboys: The Cowboys saw their odds improve from +2800 to +2500 after landing Ohio State safety Caleb Downs at No. 11, a pick many analysts have labeled the “steal of the draft”.
The Outlook for L.A.
The selection of Ty Simpson is viewed as a “forward-thinking move” that prepares the franchise for life after Stafford, but it remains unpopular with those looking for the club to strengthen its immediate “win-now” roster. Analysts suggest that while the pick didn’t help the Rams’ 2026-27 championship chances on paper, it may give the front office more confidence to trade future draft picks for a veteran wide receiver later this fall.
